Development of a Drought Risk Assessment Tool for British Columbia Forests Using a Stand-level Water-balance Approach

This technical report introduces a drought risk assessment tool designed to help forest managers in British Columbia navigate the challenges of a warming climate. By using a stand-level water-balance approach, the researchers calculated the ratio of water availability to evaporative demand to establish drought tolerance thresholds for ten common tree species. The study concludes that many species face significant threats of stress and mortality on drier sites, whereas moist, water-receiving areas may serve as critical climate refugia for conservation. This document provides a practical framework for applying this data to silvicultural decisions, such as selecting resilient species for reforestation and identifying areas at higher risk for wildfires or invasive species.