13 resources found

Tags: Models

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  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Community Forests Advance Local Wildfire Governance and Proactive Management in British Columbia, Canada

    This paper examines how community forests in British Columbia, Canada, are transforming wildfire governance by shifting away from traditional, centralized, and reactive approaches toward proactive, locally-driven management. The authors highlight th...
    This paper examines how community forests in British Columbia, Canada, are transforming wildfire governance by shifting away from traditional, centralized, and reactive approaches toward proactive, locally-driven management. The authors highlight that CFs, which are long-term forest tenures managed by Indigenous and/or local communities, act as local leaders in mitigating wildfire risk. Their success hinges on crucial factors such as financial and social capacity, particularly the ability to build trust and strong relationships with both community members and government agencies. Despite persistent challenges, the study concludes that CFs are a critical form of local wildfire governance, effectively implementing diverse strategies and fostering a fire lens in forest management to enhance wildfire resilience across various scales.
  • Case Study Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Short-Term Impacts of Operational Fuel Treatments on Modelled Fire Behaviour and Effects in Seasonally Dry Forests of British Columbia, Canada

    This paper investigates the effectiveness of various fuel treatments in mitigating wildfire behavior in British Columbia's seasonally dry forests, a region increasingly vulnerable to extreme fires. Through field measurements and fire behavior modelin...
    This paper investigates the effectiveness of various fuel treatments in mitigating wildfire behavior in British Columbia's seasonally dry forests, a region increasingly vulnerable to extreme fires. Through field measurements and fire behavior modeling, the study assessed how different combinations of thinning, pruning, and residue fuel management impact the potential for crown fires and tree mortality. Key findings suggest that high-intensity thinning is more effective at reducing both passive and active crown fire potential and tree mortality compared to low-intensity thinning, while pruning after thinning offered little additional benefit. The study also highlights that chipping or pile burning residue fuel can reduce crown fire risk, but cautions that chipping may lead to delayed tree mortality not captured by current models, indicating a need for further research on its long-term effects.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Context-Dependent Disturbance Synergies - Subcortical Competitors May Constrain Bark Beetle Outbreaks Following Wildfires

    This paper explores how wildfires and beetle communities interact to influence Douglas-fir beetle outbreaks in British Columbia's forests. Traditionally, DFB populations are expected to surge after fires due to an abundance of weakened trees, but th...
    This paper explores how wildfires and beetle communities interact to influence Douglas-fir beetle outbreaks in British Columbia's forests. Traditionally, DFB populations are expected to surge after fires due to an abundance of weakened trees, but this study reveals a more complex dynamic. The presence of woodboring beetles, which also colonize fire-injured trees, can significantly constrain DFB population growth through interspecific competition. Specifically, when woodborers infest over 50% of trees in a stand, DFB reproduction falls below replacement levels, suggesting that these competitors can suppress potential DFB irruptions and ultimately influence forest resilience after disturbances.
  • Case Study

    Fuel Treatment Efficacy in Fire-Prone Forests of Interior British Columbia, Canada

    This document investigates the effectiveness of various thinning, pruning, and residue fuel management strategies designed to mitigate extreme wildfire hazards in the fire-prone forests of interior British Columbia. Using both simulated scenarios and...
    This document investigates the effectiveness of various thinning, pruning, and residue fuel management strategies designed to mitigate extreme wildfire hazards in the fire-prone forests of interior British Columbia. Using both simulated scenarios and analyses of actual operational treatments, the research modeled impacts on passive and active crown fire potential, as well as tree mortality. A key finding is that while removing small trees reduces the risk of passive crown fire, the concurrent removal of some larger trees is necessary to substantially reduce the threat of active crown fire. The study also confirmed that effective management of residue fuels is critical for treatment success, while pruning was found to have minimal impact on crown fire mitigation. This work provides valuable, region-specific data to help forest managers make informed wildfire management decisions regarding necessary treatment intensity.
  • Webinar

    Integrating Biomass Supply Scenarios and Advancing Open Systems for Cumulative Effects Management

    This webinar introduces a new approach to managing the forest-based bioeconomy by challenging the assumptions about biomass supply availability for emerging industries. Dr. Greg Parody details his work on developing integrated open-source modeling fr...
    This webinar introduces a new approach to managing the forest-based bioeconomy by challenging the assumptions about biomass supply availability for emerging industries. Dr. Greg Parody details his work on developing integrated open-source modeling frameworks, such as the Candies project, which link robust forest estate models with spatial ecological simulations to move beyond isolated planning. The core objective is advancing open modeling for cumulative effects by including industrial supply chain behavior, ensuring that Annual Allowable Cut projections are grounded in market realities and logistics. The work demonstrates that evaluating the sustainability of forest activities, particularly regarding climate change mitigation, depends entirely on what happens to the logs afterward and the subsequent displacement of other materials.
  • Extension Note

    Considerations for Rehabilitating Naturally Disturbed Stands Part 2 Stand Level Treatments and Hydrological Equivalent Clearcut Area

    This extension note focuses on the hydrological equivalent clearcut area as a tool for managing forests in British Columbia that have been affected by natural disturbances like mountain pine beetle infestations. It explores how different stand-level...
    This extension note focuses on the hydrological equivalent clearcut area as a tool for managing forests in British Columbia that have been affected by natural disturbances like mountain pine beetle infestations. It explores how different stand-level treatments, such as salvaging timber and replanting, can influence ECA over time compared to leaving stands unsalvaged. The author examines the contributions of various stand components-including surviving trees, dead snags, and regeneration-to ECA and compares the cumulative hydrological effects of different management strategies using ECA years. The document provides a decision framework to help forest managers consider hydrological values, especially when detailed assessments aren't possible, while also acknowledging other important ecological and economic factors in rehabilitation decisions.
  • Training

    Forest Carbon Management Certificate

    The Forest Carbon Management micro-certificate is designed for professionals in natural resource sectors. It provides foundational knowledge in forest carbon accounting, data analysis, project development, and market navigation. Through real-world ca...
    The Forest Carbon Management micro-certificate is designed for professionals in natural resource sectors. It provides foundational knowledge in forest carbon accounting, data analysis, project development, and market navigation. Through real-world case studies and applied learning, participants will gain practical skills to assess and manage forest carbon initiatives in both domestic and international contexts. The program is ideal for those seeking to diversify their expertise and contribute to climate action through sustainable forest practices.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Prioritizing Commercial Thinning Quantification of Growth and Competition with High-Density Drone Laser Scanning

    This document introduces a method for prioritizing commercial thinning in forests by integrating high-density drone laser scanning (DLS) data with tree-ring measurements. This research uses DLS to quantify individual tree growth and competition, spec...
    This document introduces a method for prioritizing commercial thinning in forests by integrating high-density drone laser scanning (DLS) data with tree-ring measurements. This research uses DLS to quantify individual tree growth and competition, specifically identifying that crown volume is the strongest predictor of recent basal area growth. This innovative approach allows for the creation of detailed spatial maps, including a new "growth competition index," which can guide forest managers in optimizing thinning strategies across large areas, moving beyond traditional stand-level assessments to a more precise, intra-stand management. The study emphasizes how this technology provides timely, fine-scale information to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of silvicultural practices, particularly commercial thinning.
  • Case Study

    The Economic Feasibility of Commercial Thinning in Second Growth Forests on the British Columbia Coast

    This document investigates the economic viability of commercial thinning in second-growth forests on British Columbia's coast. Using the TIPSY 4.2 modeling software, the author simulates various scenarios by inputting existing forest data and economi...
    This document investigates the economic viability of commercial thinning in second-growth forests on British Columbia's coast. Using the TIPSY 4.2 modeling software, the author simulates various scenarios by inputting existing forest data and economic variables to predict stand yields and financial outcomes. While acknowledging the environmental and silvicultural benefits of commercial thinning (like improving stand quality, accelerating wood volume, and enhancing biodiversity) the study's initial findings suggest that, under current conditions, commercial thinning is not economically feasible. However, it also explores the potential for future use, considering factors such as different thinning intensities, harvesting methods, and the impact of government assistance programs.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Combining Thinning and Diverse Plantings to Adapt to Climate Change Induced Timber Supply Shortage in British Columbia

    This paper explores strategies to mitigate timber supply shortages in British Columbia (BC), a problem exacerbated by climate change and past natural disturbances like the mountain pine beetle outbreak. The authors investigate two primary forest mana...
    This paper explores strategies to mitigate timber supply shortages in British Columbia (BC), a problem exacerbated by climate change and past natural disturbances like the mountain pine beetle outbreak. The authors investigate two primary forest management approaches: commercial thinning and diverse plantings, including assisted species migration. By simulating the long-term effects of these interventions in a case study area, the study concludes that combining commercial thinning with species diversification offers the most promising solution to sustain future timber supply in BC, emphasizing the importance of adaptive forest management in the face of environmental challenges.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Canadian Forests Are More Conducive to High-Severity Fires in Recent Decades

    This paper investigates the factors influencing wildfire burn severity across Canada. Using statistical models applied to environmental data from 1981 to 2020, the authors identify fuel aridity as the most significant driver of how severely forests b...
    This paper investigates the factors influencing wildfire burn severity across Canada. Using statistical models applied to environmental data from 1981 to 2020, the authors identify fuel aridity as the most significant driver of how severely forests burn. Their analysis reveals that northern regions and summer months are particularly prone to high-severity fires, and they found a concerning trend of increasingly favorable conditions for severe burning in recent decades, particularly in spring and autumn. The study concludes that changing climates are making Canadian forests more susceptible to intense fires, highlighting the need for improved fire management and preparedness strategies.
  • Community of Practice

    Malcolm Knapp Research Forest

    The Malcolm Knapp Research Forest mission is to provide a world class environment for research and education in forestry and allied sciences. It is located near Maple Ridge and is close enough to UBC campus for students to visit for field trips or pr...
    The Malcolm Knapp Research Forest mission is to provide a world class environment for research and education in forestry and allied sciences. It is located near Maple Ridge and is close enough to UBC campus for students to visit for field trips or project work. The UBC Malcolm Knapp Research Forest has a thriving research community which includes professional researchers and students from several UBC faculties, from Simon Fraser University, from BC's provincial government, and from the Canadian federal government. Since the establishment of the Research Forest, over 900 research projects have been initiated on the land-base, and more than 100 of these are still active. Many of these active projects are long-term in nature, spanning close to 50 years and including some of the most extensive datasets in western North America. While the majority of the projects focus on different aspects of forestry and forest management, several of the more recent projects touch on other, unrelated fields, such as astronomy and forensic entomology. The last 10 years has seen a shift in the focus of forestry research, from projects looking predominantly at maximizing growth and yield in managed forests, to projects which are more concerned with measuring impacts of different forest practices on the ecology of our forests. Studies of growth and yield continue, however, and these projects include some of the longest datasets the research forest has. For a full list of research projects being pursued at the Research Forest, please check the Research Projects Database found at https://rpd.forestry.ubc.ca/auth
  • Case Study

    Uncertainty in Adaptation to Climate Change in Forest Management

    This report explores the challenges of forest management planning in British Columbia under the uncertainty of climate change. Recognizing that no single climate change prediction is definitive, the authors develop a conceptual framework using a robu...
    This report explores the challenges of forest management planning in British Columbia under the uncertainty of climate change. Recognizing that no single climate change prediction is definitive, the authors develop a conceptual framework using a robustness approach. Instead of seeking an optimal plan for a specific future, they aim to identify good-enough plans that perform reasonably well across a range of potential climate scenarios. The study uses the Quesnel Timber Supply Area as a case study, focusing on balancing timber supply and tree species diversity goals through multi-criteria decision analysis, considering both a status quo and an adaptation-focused forest renewal option.